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Steven Rattner served as counselor to the Treasury Secretary during the Obama administration and now in an Opinion piece in the New York Times, he details how three different election modelers are predicting re-election for President Trump in 2020.
Yale's Ray Fair is using a model that combines incumbency with gross domestic product growth rates. He successfully used this model in both 2008 and 2012 and got within fractions of a percentage point of being right on the money. It also predicted Trump's 2016 victory.
Mark Zandi is Moody’s Analytics’s chief economist. He looked at 12 different models to predict a Trump win and Donald Luskin from Trend Macrolytics also predicted the President would be re-elected and he based that on an analysis of the Electoral College.
So do you agree? Will President Trump win re-election?
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