The price of oil predicts Russia's behavior

The Russian government depends heavily upon income from the oil business. With that income in retreat, it should come as no surprise that the government there is looking to asymmetric power plays (like trying to interfere with Western elections) and headline-grabbing displays of power. Economic strength speaks for itself; weakness begets the kind of behavior we see in wounded animals. If the price of oil doesn't rise in a durable way, then we probably haven't seen the worst of Russian government malfeasance.

Brian Gongol

Brian Gongol

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